New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals prediction: New York Mets ML
Event: Thu, May 21 · 4:06 PM EDT
For New York Mets vs. Washington National, the play is New York Mets ML (-115).
Watch the breakdown
The Pick
New York Mets ML (-115)
Why It Works
New York Mets ML (-115) is still the side because Nolan McLean and Bo Bichette give New York Mets the cleaner path to the handful of moments that usually decide this kind of game. The supporting numbers: 377 hits vs. 413, 43 home runs vs. 59.
Bo Bichette gives New York Mets a real middle-of-the-order anchor with 25 RBIs and 5 home runs. If Nolan McLean does his job, New York Mets has the arm talent to keep this game on script after 69 strikeouts and 5 quality starts so far.
The season-long hit count is not lopsided enough to scare this off either (377 versus 413), especially if New York Mets gets the better bullpen innings. There is enough power in the profile too, with 43 home runs on the board for New York Mets.
Odds & Context
New York Mets is 21-28 entering this matchup, while Washington Nationals is 25-25. The market has New York Mets ML (-115) pregame.
Risk to Watch
A baseball moneyline can still flip on one ugly inning, one bullpen leak, or one cluster of extra-base contact. That is the part to watch even when the matchup still points to the right side.