Odd$mith Pick Policy

What Odd$mith picks are

Odd$mith publishes pregame betting picks only. We are not a live-betting service, and we do not treat every game or every market as playable. Official picks are filtered market opinions, not guaranteed outcomes.

How picks are selected

We prefer cleaner, more liquid pregame markets over novelty markets.
League-specific rules can change over time when a market is underperforming or behaving inconsistently.
Not every league uses the same market mix. Some leagues are side-first, some are total-first, and some are intentionally narrowed to a simpler set of outcomes.
We use stricter caps to avoid overloading one card with too many picks from the same market type or the same directional bias.

Current public market policy

MLB

Moneylines first, then select totals. Odd$mith does not currently force MLB run lines in official picks.

NBA / WNBA

Sides and totals remain in scope, with selective moneylines when prices stay in a playable range.

NHL

Highly selective. Current policy leans toward one cleaner moneyline first, then one total when the scoring environment supports it. Puck lines are not currently forced.

Soccer

Soccer official picks are currently limited to favorite, underdog, or draw in the three-way h2h market. Totals and spreads are intentionally excluded from official soccer picks at this time.

Tennis

Tennis remains selective and pregame-focused. Tennis image cards are disabled even when tennis picks are in scope.

How grading works

Official picks are graded by exact event ID.
If an event does not have a confirmed final result yet, the pick should remain pending / awaiting final.
Soccer draws are treated as real outcomes in the three-way moneyline market.
Pushes are counted separately from wins and losses.

Why the policy can change

Odd$mith may tighten or simplify market coverage when a league or market starts underperforming, when grading confidence changes, or when a simpler public policy is more transparent than pretending every board deserves action.

What this page is not

This page is a public rules overview, not a full dump of every internal threshold or ranking input. The policy can evolve as leagues, market conditions, and product behavior change.

Risk reminder

Betting involves risk. No pick policy eliminates variance, and no Odd$mith pick should be treated as guaranteed profit.