Milwaukee Brewers vs. Chicago Cubs prediction: Milwaukee Brewers ML

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The Pick

Milwaukee Brewers ML (-117)

Why It Works

Milwaukee Brewers ML (-117) is still the side because Jacob Misiorowski and Jake Bauers give Milwaukee Brewers the cleaner path to the handful of moments that usually decide this kind of game. The supporting numbers: 360 hits vs. 394, 30 home runs vs. 57.

Jake Bauers gives Milwaukee Brewers a real middle-of-the-order anchor with 27 RBIs and 7 home runs. If Jacob Misiorowski does his job, Milwaukee Brewers has the arm talent to keep this game on script after 80 strikeouts and 4 quality starts so far.

The season-long hit count is not lopsided enough to scare this off either (360 versus 394), especially if Milwaukee Brewers gets the better bullpen innings. There is enough power in the profile too, with 30 home runs on the board for Milwaukee Brewers.

Odds & Context

Milwaukee Brewers is 27-18 entering this matchup, while Chicago Cubs is 29-19. The market has Milwaukee Brewers ML (-117) pregame.

Risk to Watch

A baseball moneyline can still flip on one ugly inning, one bullpen leak, or one cluster of extra-base contact. That is the part to watch even when the matchup still points to the right side.