Tonight's Pick: Patriots at Seahawks - Take the Over 44.5

The NFL season opens tonight in Seattle (8:20 PM ET, NBC/Peacock), and Odd$mith's pick is in.

The Pick: Over 44.5 (-110) - Confidence: Medium-High

Why: This game is a scoring furnace, primed to blast the total past 44.5.

Seattle's secondary has been porous enough to let opponents march downfield at will, while the Patriots' front seven has struggled to keep the rush in check - a recipe that usually cooks up a lot of points.

The risk: A sudden rainstorm could turn the field into a slip-and-slide, forcing both squads into a ground-and-pound slog that keeps the scoreboard under the number.

Full game page: Patriots vs. Seahawks | Full AI prediction

Every Odd$mith pick is tracked and graded publicly, all season. Follow the full Week 1 card - including Over 40.5 Browns-Jags and Over 39.5 Jets-Titans on Sunday - at oddsmith.net or in the Odd$mith app for Android.

Enjoy the game. Football is back.