Dallas Wings vs. Phoenix Mercury

Quick read:

I'm taking the over on this Dallas‑Phoenix showdown because when two teams that can’t hold onto the ball turn into a scrappy rebound race, points pile up faster than a bar tab on happy hour.

Dallas pulls down 34.5 rebounds per game while Phoenix isn’t far behind at 31.6, meaning the glass will be a war zone and second‑chance points will rain; add their three‑point shooting—34.2% for the Wings and 32.9% for the Mercury—and you’ll see a barrage of long‑range attempts that either miss or bounce back for easy buckets.

The only wrinkle is if both squads suddenly find a hot shooting groove; a three‑point explosion could actually tighten the game and keep the total under, but at 173.5 the odds still favor a high‑octane scoring binge.