Kansas City Royals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Picks

Team snapshot

Kansas City Royals

Record: 67-88 · Win pct .432

Pittsburgh Pirates

Record: 78-77 · Win pct .503

Full picks for this match

Kansas City Royals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates

Moneyline: Pittsburgh Pirates ML (-119) — Win

EV signal: Premium only

CLV: 0.0% vs closing line

Final score: Kansas City Royals 5, Pittsburgh Pirates 6

Why this play: The Pirates' 175 homers and 730 runs make them the obvious moneyline pick against a Royals offense that's sputtering like a busted firecracker.

Quick read:

I'm backing the Pittsburgh Pirates to take the win – their bats have been swinging like a carnival ride, and Kansas City looks about as threatening as a damp towel.

Pittsburgh's 730 runs scored and 1331 hits this season show a lineup that can find the gaps, while the Royals have managed only 643 runs and are surrendering 740, a gap as wide as the Mississippi. Add 175 home runs to the mix and the Pirates have the power to turn any close contest into a fireworks show.

Risk? The Pirates' pitching has allowed 706 runs, so a sudden offensive burst from Kansas City could tighten the game, but at these odds the upside outweighs the downside.

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